Monday, April 30, 2012

KO update...



Been long since the update on 3/21/12 @ $70.25 on breakout..... and took gains today on half my position and wrote the June $77.50 calls for $0.77 on the remaining half position...

original post link:  http://mychartdiary.blogspot.com/2012/02/ko.html

Global Market in review...the Elephant is in the Room and Looming Large...Global Markets have TOPPED!

S&P 500 currently @ 1412

I had a very busy and productive weekend.  I just finished posting the largest 15 or so economies in the world per nominal GDP...annotated on each individual country chart are my thoughts, analysis and where I see them headed...Long story short I am NOT very optimistic about the next 6 months / year + as many of the largest economies in the world appear in the clutches of the next bear move lower...I believe all or very close to all equity markets have topped for this cycle...mainstream media of course does not see this coming at all...wall st analysts continue to cheerlead the rally / recovery and are doing a very big disservice to main st....YET AGAIN!  This concurs with my assessment of where we are in the cycles...nobody apparently is quantifying downside or risk, which gives me more confidence in my analysis...the herd is leveraged long and so are many investment managers / advisors...this is exactly what sets up a huge down-wave...like yelling fire in a theatre as first it is concerning, then worrisome, then scary, then a downright panic sets in across the board as it becomes an outright scary run for the exits...they don't ring a bell at the top....but this is exactly what I'm doing....the alarm bells are ringing...and ringing very very loudly if you are paying attention....technicals are disgusting and calling for a complete wash-out...I'm guessing it will be somewhere between the '07-'09's -57% bear market and last summer's -20% slide....it will most likely be to the tune of -25-50% and quite possibly worse! The elephant in the room is telling me not to wait and see if it's as bad as '07-'09....I'm pretty short at the moment and ready to rumble....




Emerging Markets (EEM)...All the BRIC's

EEM: short at $42.38

Switzerland (EWL)...19th largest economy

EWL: short at $24.84

Mexico (EWW)...14th largest economy

EWW: short at $61.89

Australia (EWA)...13th largest economy

EWA: short at $23.95

Spain (EWP)...12th largest economy

EWP: short at $26.44

Canada (EWC)...11th largest economy

EWC: short at $28.45

India (PIN)...10th largest economy

Russia (RSX)...9th largest economy

RSX: short at $29.89

Italy (EWI)...8th largest economy

EWI: short at $12.12

Brazil (EWZ)...7th largest economy

EWZ: short at $60.44

United Kingdom (EWU)...6th largest economy

EWU: short at $17.65

France (EWQ)...5th largest economy

EWQ: short at $20.98

Germany (EWG)...4th largest economy

EWG: short at $22.67

Japan (EWJ)...3rd largest economy

EWJ: short at $9.75

China (FXI)...2nd largest economy

FXI: short at $38

Friday, April 27, 2012

Thursday, April 26, 2012

CELG update

Sold June $80's yesterday for $2.08 fill on full position....helping against the punishment the stock is taking today....been long since $50 and an add in the low $60's...will let this one consolidate for awhile in low $70's while I'm short the June $80's...break of $71 and I will be kicking this one to the curb and locking in all my gains....

AKAM update

glad to have exited in after-hours yesterday....right at 61.8% retracement level...AKAM could very well be commencing on its next wave lower...I see teens as distinct possibility